Find Betting Odds and Bets for Athletics vs Royals – June 14th, 2025

Athletics

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Kansas City Royals

On June 14, 2025, the Kansas City Royals will host the Oakland Athletics at Kauffman Stadium for the second game of their series. The Royals, currently sitting at 34-36, have had an average season thus far, while the Athletics are struggling with a record of 27-44, marking them as one of the worst teams in the league. Last night, the Royals managed a solid win against the Athletics, which could provide them with some momentum heading into this matchup.

The matchup features Michael Lorenzen for the Royals, who has had a rocky season with a 4-6 record and an ERA of 4.94. Although Lorenzen is ranked as the 198th best starting pitcher in MLB, advanced metrics suggest he has been somewhat unlucky, as his 4.37 xFIP indicates potential for improvement. Lorenzen projects to pitch around 5.6 innings and allow approximately 2.9 earned runs, which aligns with his average performance this season.

Opposing him will be Jacob Lopez, projected to start for the Athletics. Lopez has struggled significantly, holding an 0-4 record and a troubling ERA of 6.00. With a high strikeout rate (26.7 K%), he faces a Royals offense that ranks 2nd in the least strikeouts, which might give Kansas City an edge in capitalizing on his weaknesses. The projections indicate that Lopez could have a tough time against the Royals, especially given their lack of home run power, ranking 30th in the league.

The Royals are favored with a moneyline of -155, suggesting a strong implied total of 5.21 runs. In contrast, the Athletics are the underdogs at +135, with an implied team total of 4.29 runs. With both teams having distinct challenges, this game could be pivotal for the Royals to continue their upward trajectory against a struggling Athletics squad.

Athletics Insights

• Jacob Lopez – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  The Kansas City Royals have 7 batters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Lopez in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Luis Urias – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
  Luis Urias’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 86.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 82.2-mph over the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The underlying talent of the Athletics projected offense today (.310 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be significantly weaker than their .321 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Michael Lorenzen – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  In his previous GS, Michael Lorenzen performed well and posted 7 strikeouts.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Salvador Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Typically, hitters like Salvador Perez who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jacob Lopez.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Betting Trends

• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 66 games (+27.95 Units / 37% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+10.75 Units / 16% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+135/-175)
  Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)