Check Out the Player Prop Odds for Dodgers vs Padres – 6/10/25

Los Angeles Dodgers

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San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres will host the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 10, 2025, in what promises to be an exciting National League West matchup. The Padres currently hold a record of 37-28, while the Dodgers sit slightly ahead at 40-27, showcasing their strong seasons. Both teams are vying for supremacy in a tight division race, making this game particularly significant. In their last encounter, the Padres fell to the Dodgers by a narrow 8-7 margin, adding fuel to the competitive fire.

On the mound, the Padres are projected to start Dylan Cease, who has had a challenging season with a 1-5 record and an ERA of 4.72. However, advanced metrics suggest he has been somewhat unlucky, as his 3.22 xFIP indicates potential for improvement. Cease’s ability to strike out batters—averaging 6.6 strikeouts per game—could be crucial against a potent Dodgers lineup that ranks 2nd in overall offense and 1st in batting average this season.

Lou Trivino will take the hill for the Dodgers, but his projections indicate a concerning outing, with only 1.0 innings pitched and 0.6 earned runs expected. The Padres will look to exploit this weakness, especially given their 3rd ranked bullpen in MLB according to Power Rankings.

Betting lines favor the Padres slightly at -120, suggesting a close contest. With an implied team total of 4.35 runs, San Diego’s offense, while ranked 21st overall, has the potential to capitalize on Trivino’s struggles. As the series continues, the Padres will aim to bounce back and even the score against their division rivals.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-110)
  Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Shohei Ohtani has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 101.3-mph average to last year’s 99-mph average.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

San Diego Padres Insights

• San Diego Padres – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)
  Dylan Cease is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.5% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #9 HR venue in Major League Baseball in today’s game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Tyler Wade – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Typically, bats like Tyler Wade who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Lou Trivino.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The San Diego Padres (19.5 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone set of batters on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games (+8.20 Units / 12% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-135/+105)
  Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 31% ROI)