Injuries Update for Rangers vs Twins – June 10, 2025

Texas Rangers

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Minnesota Twins

On June 10, 2025, the Minnesota Twins will host the Texas Rangers at Target Field in what marks the first game of their series. The Twins currently sit with a record of 35-30, enjoying an above-average season, while the Rangers are struggling at 31-35 and find themselves in a below-average position. This matchup features two right-handed pitchers: Simeon Woods Richard for the Twins and Tyler Mahle for the Rangers.

Woods Richard, ranked 178th among MLB starting pitchers, has had a rocky season with a 2-2 record and a troubling ERA of 5.02. His peripherals suggest he may have been unlucky, but his projections are concerning, as he is expected to pitch only 5.0 innings while allowing an average of 2.9 earned runs. Conversely, Mahle comes in with a solid 5-3 record and an impressive ERA of 2.02, making him the 80th ranked pitcher in the league. Although projections indicate he may be due for a downturn, his current form suggests he can handle the Twins’ average offense.

Offensively, the Twins rank 16th overall, with their best hitter recently enjoying a solid week, hitting .368 with a 1.139 OPS. However, the Rangers’ bats are struggling, as they rank last in the league, sitting at 30th in overall offensive performance. Despite some power in the lineup, the lack of consistent hitting could be detrimental against Mahle.

With the Twins favored at -125, they have a favorable matchup against a struggling Rangers team. This game could serve as a pivotal moment for Minnesota to capitalize on Texas’s offensive woes and Woods Richard’s inconsistencies. The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs, suggesting a potential for a close contest, but the Twins appear to have the edge.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Tyler Mahle – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+135/-175)
  Due to his reverse platoon split, Tyler Mahle encounters a tough challenge going up against 6 bats in the projected batting order of the same handedness in this game.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform worse against same-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be worse against a right-handed hitter). Losing this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Adolis Garcia – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Adolis Garcia has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Texas Rangers – 2H Moneyline
  The Texas Rangers bullpen grades out as the 3rd-worst in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Minnesota Twins – Moneyline (-125)
  Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Matt Wallner – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Matt Wallner has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.6-mph to 98.6-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Harrison Bader – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  In today’s matchup, Harrison Bader is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (86th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Minnesota Twins – Moneyline (-125)
  The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 43 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• Texas Rangers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 66 games (+21.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Marcus Semien – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+120/-155)
  Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 20% ROI)