Explore Expert Picks and Betting Line for D-Backs vs Reds – June 7, 2025

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Cincinnati Reds

On June 7, 2025, the Cincinnati Reds will host the Arizona Diamondbacks for the second game of their series at Great American Ball Park. Both teams are hovering around .500, with the Reds at 30-33 and the Diamondbacks at 31-31. The Reds are having a below-average season, while the Diamondbacks are treading water with an average record. In their last outing, the Reds suffered a tough defeat against the D-Backs, losing 9-1, which marks a continuation of their struggles.

Nick Martinez is projected to take the mound for Cincinnati. Despite his 3-6 record this season, Martinez’s 3.89 ERA indicates he has been effective at times, ranking him as the 87th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats. However, he has been inconsistent lately, having allowed 5 earned runs in his last start on June 1. The projections suggest he will pitch around 5.3 innings today, but he may struggle with allowing 5.3 hits and 2.8 earned runs on average.

On the other side, Ryne Nelson is set to start for Arizona. He holds a solid 3.43 ERA this season and has shown promise, especially after a strong outing on May 26 where he pitched 7 innings without allowing any earned runs. The projections indicate he will also pitch approximately 5.0 innings, but he may face challenges against a Reds offense that ranks 12th overall in MLB.

Interestingly, while both teams have similar moneyline odds set at -110, the projections favor the Reds slightly more, suggesting they could outperform their implied team total of 4.50 runs. With both pitchers having the potential for strong performances, this matchup could be closer than the records suggest, making it a compelling game for bettors to watch.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Arizona Diamondbacks – 2H Moneyline
  The Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen profiles as the worst in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Cincinnati Reds – 0.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line (-140)
  Nick Martinez is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue in Major League Baseball in today’s game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.