Check Out Tigers vs Brewers Picks and Betting Tips – Monday April 14th, 2025

Detroit Tigers

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Milwaukee Brewers

As the Milwaukee Brewers prepare to face the Detroit Tigers on April 14, 2025, at American Family Field, both teams are looking to establish momentum. The Brewers currently sit at 8-8, having experienced an average start to the season, while the Tigers are off to a strong 9-6 start, reflecting their solid performance. In their previous game, the Brewers managed to secure a victory, which could bolster their confidence heading into this interleague matchup.

On the mound, the Brewers are projected to start Tyler Alexander, who has shown flashes of potential with a 2.84 ERA this season. However, his 4.92 xFIP suggests that he might have been a bit lucky, and he is ranked as the 253rd best starting pitcher in MLB, indicating he is among the lower tier of pitchers. Alexander’s ability to limit earned runs will be crucial, especially against a potent Tigers offense that ranks 5th overall in the league.

Opposing him will be Tarik Skubal, who is having an elite season with a 3.78 ERA and ranks as the 2nd best starting pitcher in MLB. Skubal’s projections indicate he is expected to pitch 5.8 innings while allowing only 1.9 earned runs, making him a significant challenge for the Brewers lineup that ranks 18th in MLB offensively.

Despite the Brewers being underdogs with a moneyline of +140 and an implied team total of just 3.12 runs, their recent victory could spark an upset. If Alexander can exceed expectations and keep the game close, the Brewers may capitalize on any mistakes from Skubal and the Tigers. With a Game Total set at a low 7.0 runs, the matchup promises to be competitive, setting the stage for an intriguing battle in Milwaukee.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  When it comes to his strikeout skill, Tarik Skubal projects as the 8th-best pitcher in the league right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Spencer Torkelson has a ton of pop (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (27.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tyler Alexander is a pitch-to-contact type (24th percentile K%) — great news for Torkelson.
  Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
• Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
  The Detroit Tigers bullpen grades out as the 6th-best in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (+145)
  The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense profiles as the best among all the teams on the slate today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Sal Frelick – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Sal Frelick’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 83.8-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 78.8-mph in the last week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• William Contreras – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+135)
  William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+125/-165)
  Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 76% ROI)