See the Updated Player Rankings for Rockies vs Phillies – 5/8/26

Colorado Rockies

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Philadelphia Phillies

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Chase Dollander – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-165/+125)
  Chase Dollander has used his sinker 13.3% more often this year (23.4%) than he did last season (10.1%).
  Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Mickey Moniak – Over/Under Total Bases
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mickey Moniak’s true offensive skill to be a .324, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .128 disparity between that figure and his actual .452 wOBA.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under Total Bases
  Hunter Goodman pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Jesus Luzardo – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Jesus Luzardo’s 96.4-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 90th percentile among all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Edmundo Sosa – Over/Under Total Bases
  Edmundo Sosa has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-210)
  The 4th-best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.