See the Starting Lineup for Reds vs Astros – May 10, 2025

Cincinnati Reds

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Houston Astros

On May 10, 2025, the Houston Astros will host the Cincinnati Reds in an Interleague matchup at Minute Maid Park. The Astros enter this game with a record of 19-18, sitting in a competitive spot within their division, while the Reds are struggling at 19-21. Houston is coming off a solid performance, having shut out the Reds 3-0 in their last encounter, marking a statement win that bolsters their confidence as they look to take the series.

The projected starters for this matchup are Lance McCullers Jr. for the Astros and Brady Singer for the Reds. McCullers Jr. has had a rocky start to the season, having only pitched once and posting an impressive ERA of 0.00, although his xFIP of 4.97 suggests he may have been fortunate thus far. He faces a Reds lineup known for its discipline, ranking 6th in MLB in walks, which could exploit McCullers’ high walk rate of 16.7% this season.

On the other hand, Brady Singer brings a solid 4-2 record and a respectable ERA of 3.66 to the mound after pitching six innings with four earned runs in his last outing. His ability to go deeper into games, averaging 6.2 innings pitched, gives the Reds a potential edge in this matchup.

As for offensive production, the Astros rank 19th overall and 25th in home runs this season, which raises concerns about their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Meanwhile, the Reds boast a slightly better offense, ranking 13th overall, with a notable 14th place in home runs. With both teams having average implied totals of 4.19 runs for the Astros and 3.81 runs for the Reds, this game is shaping up to be a close one, with both teams having something to prove.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Brady Singer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Among all starters, Brady Singer’s fastball velocity of 91.6 mph is in the 22nd percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Matt McLain – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  In the last 14 days, Matt McLain’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.3% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• The Cincinnati Reds have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Will Benson, Tyler Stephenson, Elly De La Cruz, Matt McLain).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Houston Astros Insights

• Lance McCullers Jr. – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Lance McCullers Jr. will average a total of 2.3 singles in today’s outing.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
• Isaac Paredes – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Isaac Paredes has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph dropping to 77.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Houston Astros bats collectively rank in the cellar of Major League Baseball this year ( worst) when it comes to their 88.2-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Houston Astros – Run Line -1.5 (+165)
  The Houston Astros have hit the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+8.60 Units / 45% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• Jake Meyers – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Jake Meyers has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)