
Los Angeles Angels
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Athletics
+130O/U: 10
(-110/-110)-150
(-110/-110)-150
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Oswald Peraza – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Extreme groundball bats like Oswald Peraza generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jeffrey Springs.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Athletics Insights
- Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)Jeffrey Springs is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.3% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #5 HR venue among all major league stadiums in today’s game.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Carlos Cortes – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)Carlos Cortes is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)Lawrence Butler has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Athletics – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (+105/-135)The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-110/-120)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- Henry Bolte – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)Henry Bolte has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 27% ROI)
