
Baltimore Orioles
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Detroit Tigers
+110O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-130
(-110/-110)-130
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Kyle Bradish – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Kyle Bradish has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 51.3% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
- Baltimore Orioles – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Baltimore Orioles’ bullpen profiles as the 8th-worst among all the teams in baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Keider Montero – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)Among all starters, Keider Montero’s fastball spin rate of 2230 rpm is in the 23rd percentile this year.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.85 Units / 39% ROI)
