See the Odds and Betting Tips for Cardinals vs Mets – June 11th, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals

@

New York Mets

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Hunter Dobbins – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Hunter Dobbins in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Jordan Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Jordan Walker has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year’s 92.3-mph mark.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nelson Velazquez, Jordan Walker, Jimmy Crooks).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

New York Mets Insights

• Christian Scott – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-165)
  Christian Scott wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and compiled 1 Ks.
  Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• Luis Torrens – Over/Under Hits
  Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.302) provides evidence that Luis Torrens has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .224 actual batting average.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• New York’s 89.6-mph average exit velocity this year is among the best in the league: #4 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.