Read Nationals vs D-Backs Picks and Betting Odds - Friday June 05, 2026

+110O/U: 9
(-105/-115)-130

Foster Griffin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
With 8 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Foster Griffin meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Drew Millas – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
As it relates to his batting average, Drew Millas has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .224 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .332.
Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
Luis Garcia – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
Luis Garcia Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (-130)
Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Geraldo Perdomo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-200/+155)
Geraldo Perdomo has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (99% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ryan Waldschmidt, Tommy Troy, Aramis Garcia).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (-130)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
Washington Nationals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-145)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 27% ROI)
Geraldo Perdomo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-200/+155)
Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+8.55 Units / 33% ROI)

WriteNow™ by EV Analytics