Rays vs Orioles Best Bets and Expert Picks - Monday May 25, 2026

-135O/U: 7.5
(-115/-105)+115

Shane McClanahan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
The Baltimore Orioles have 7 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan today.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+190/-255)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 8th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average ability.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Kyle Bradish – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
Out of all starting pitchers, Kyle Bradish’s fastball spin rate of 2393 rpm ranks in the 75th percentile this year.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Samuel Basallo – Over/Under Hits
Samuel Basallo has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
The Baltimore Orioles have 4 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Blaze Alexander, Weston Wilson, Samuel Basallo, Tyler O’Neill).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

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