Player Stats for Padres vs Orioles – June 12th, 2026

San Diego Padres

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Baltimore Orioles

San Diego Padres Insights

• Griffin Canning – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Griffin Canning has gone to his four-seamer 9.7% less often this season (25%) than he did last year (34.7%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+160/-210)
  As it relates to his batting average ability, Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Shane Baz – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Among all starting pitchers, Shane Baz’s fastball spin rate of 2425 rpm ranks in the 80th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Pete Alonso – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Pete Alonso has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 18.8% rate last season has dropped off to 12.4% this year.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-140)
  The Baltimore Orioles projected offense projects as the 4th-best on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• San Diego Padres – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.40 Units / 9% ROI)