Player Stats for Padres vs Orioles - June 12th, 2026

+110O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)-130

Griffin Canning – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
Griffin Canning has gone to his four-seamer 9.7% less often this season (25%) than he did last year (34.7%).
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
Fernando Tatis Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+145/-190)
As it relates to his batting average ability, Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
Fernando Tatis Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Shane Baz – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
Among all starting pitchers, Shane Baz’s fastball spin rate of 2425 rpm ranks in the 80th percentile this year.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Pete Alonso – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
Pete Alonso has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 18.8% rate last season has dropped off to 12.4% this year.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-130)
The Baltimore Orioles projected offense projects as the best on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Baltimore Orioles – Run Line -1.5 (+150)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.90 Units / 31% ROI)
San Diego Padres – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Gunnar Henderson – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+190/-250)
Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.15 Units / 31% ROI)

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