
Miami Marlins
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Toronto Blue Jays
+120O/U: 8
(-105/-115)-140
(-105/-115)-140
Miami Marlins Insights
- Sandy Alcantara – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)Placing in the 9th percentile, Sandy Alcantara has notched a 15.5% Strikeout% this year.Explain: One of the best indicators of future strikeouts is past strikeouts.
- Liam Hicks – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)Liam Hicks has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 5.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last two weeks.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- The Miami Marlins have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joe Mack, Owen Caissie, Kyle Stowers).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Braydon Fisher – Over/Under Pitching OutsThe leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Braydon Fisher to be limited in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 61 pitches.Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Tyler Heineman – Over/Under Total BasesTyler Heineman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 87.8-mph mark last year has lowered to 85-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Toronto Blue Jays – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Toronto Blue Jays’ bullpen profiles as the 8th-best among all teams in Major League Baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
