Player Prop Bets for Phillies vs Cubs - April 23rd, 2026

-115O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)-105

Cristopher Sanchez – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-170/+135)
Cristopher Sanchez has tallied 17 outs per game per started this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Justin Crawford – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+130)
Justin Crawford has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 94.7-mph over the past 7 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
The 6.8% Barrel% of the Philadelphia Phillies makes them the #28 squad in the game this year by this metric.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Edward Cabrera – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+135/-180)
Edward Cabrera has used his change-up 11% more often this season (36.6%) than he did last year (25.6%).
Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
Extreme flyball hitters like Seiya Suzuki usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Alex Bregman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago Cubs – Run Line +1.5 (-165)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+9.25 Units / 35% ROI)
Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
Michael Busch – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
Michael Busch has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 46% ROI)

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