
San Diego Padres
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Philadelphia Phillies
+195O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-230
(-110/-110)-230
San Diego Padres Insights
- San Diego Padres – Moneyline (+195)Out of every team playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Ty France – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+130)Ty France has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 98.8-mph over the past 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Jackson Merrill – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)Jackson Merrill has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Cristopher Sanchez – Over/Under 19.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)Compared to the average pitcher, Cristopher Sanchez has been given an above-average leash this year, recording an additional 4.8 adjusted pitches each start.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Justin Crawford – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)Justin Crawford is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of San Diego (#1-best of all teams on the slate today).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-230)The 3rd-best projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryson Stott – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.00 Units / 65% ROI)
