
New York Mets
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Seattle Mariners
+125O/U: 7.5
(+105/-125)-145
(+105/-125)-145
New York Mets Insights
- Carson Benge – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-215/+165)Carson Benge is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- It may be wise to expect better results for the New York Mets offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the unluckiest offense in MLB this year.Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.
Seattle Mariners Insights
- Seattle Mariners – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-155)George Kirby is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.7% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in T-Mobile Park — the #8 HR venue in the league — in today’s game.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
- Luke Raley – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+190/-255)This season, Luke Raley has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.3 mph compared to last year’s 91 mph mark.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Seattle Mariners – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Seattle Mariners’ bullpen profiles as the 3rd-best out of all major league teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
