
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Athletics
-165O/U: 9.5
(-115/-105)+145
(-115/-105)+145
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-150)Shohei Ohtani’s 97.4-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 97th percentile among all starting pitchers.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Kyle Tucker – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)Kyle Tucker has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-165)The best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Athletics Insights
- Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+115)J.T. Ginn is an extreme groundball pitcher (48.6% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Sutter Health Park — the #2 HR venue among all parks — in today’s game.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
- Jeff McNeil – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)Jeff McNeil’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 89.6-mph figure last season has decreased to 86.2-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Athletics – 2H MoneylineThe Athletics bullpen profiles as the 7th-worst in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Athletics – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-150/+120)The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -1.5 (+160)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 away games (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+185/-245)Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
