Uncover Detailed Player Insights for Marlins vs Rockies - Wednesday, July 1st, 2026

-145O/U: 11
(-110/-110)+120

Max Meyer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
Max Meyer’s slider rate has jumped by 8.1% from last year to this one (46.8% to 54.9%) .
Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Esteury Ruiz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
Despite posting a .382 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Esteury Ruiz has experienced some positive variance given the .080 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.
Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
Brian Navarreto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brian Navarreto in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Kyle Freeland – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
Kyle Freeland didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his last game started and accumulated 2 Ks.
Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
Tyler Freeman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)
Tyler Freeman has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Colorado Rockies in today’s game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .306, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .322 this year.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Over/Under 11.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games at home (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Miami Marlins – Run Line -1.5 (-110)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Run Line in 22 of their last 30 games (+15.40 Units / 37% ROI)
Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+195/-265)
Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+14.20 Units / 31% ROI)

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