
Pittsburgh Pirates
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Texas Rangers
+100O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-120
(-110/-110)-120
Pittsburgh Pirates Insights
- Pittsburgh Pirates – Moneyline (+100)Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Oneil Cruz – Over/Under Total BasesOneil Cruz has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 100-mph average to last season’s 97.3-mph figure.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Oneil Cruz – Over/Under Total BasesOneil Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Texas Rangers Insights
- Kumar Rocker – Over/Under Pitching OutsKumar Rocker has tallied 13.9 outs per start since the start of last season, placing in the 7th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Danny Jansen – Over/Under Total BasesPittsburgh’s 2nd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Danny Jansen, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Texas Rangers – Moneyline (-120)The 4th-best projected offense on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Texas Rangers.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Pittsburgh Pirates – Run Line -1.5 (+165)The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.65 Units / 28% ROI)
