Live Stream for D-Backs vs Guardians Game - Friday, July 31, 2026

+115O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)-140

Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (+115)
The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Adrian Del Castillo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-125/-105)
Adrian Del Castillo has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future
Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-150/+115)
Tanner Bibee has averaged 91.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.
Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Steven Kwan – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190/+145)
Steven Kwan may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Cleveland Guardians – 2H Moneyline
The Cleveland Guardians bullpen projects as the 3rd-best in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Cleveland Guardians – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100/-130)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
Chase DeLauter – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+185/-245)
Chase DeLauter has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+13.30 Units / 29% ROI)

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