
Los Angeles Dodgers

St. Louis Cardinals
On June 8, 2025, the St. Louis Cardinals will host the Los Angeles Dodgers at Busch Stadium in what has become a compelling National League matchup. The Cardinals are currently sitting at 36-28, enjoying a solid season, while the Dodgers boast a slightly better record at 38-27, placing them among the league’s elite. In their last encounter on June 7, the Cardinals edged out the Dodgers with a narrow 2-1 victory, adding a layer of intensity to today’s game.
Michael McGreevy is projected to start for the Cardinals, despite having only made one appearance out of the bullpen this year. His 0.00 ERA suggests he has been fortunate, as his xFIP of 3.63 indicates he’s likely to face challenges moving forward. However, McGreevy’s low walk rate might work in his favor against a Dodgers lineup that excels at drawing walks. Given that he is a high-flyball pitcher facing a powerful Dodgers offense—ranked 2nd in MLB with 101 home runs—there’s potential for fireworks today.
On the other side, Clayton Kershaw is expected to take the mound for Los Angeles. Despite being an average pitcher in terms of recent form, his 5.17 ERA and 5.76 SIERA suggest he has struggled. Kershaw’s last outing saw him allowing 3 earned runs in just 5 innings, which raises questions about his ability to handle a potent Cardinals offense that ranks 10th overall in MLB.
The projections favor the Dodgers slightly, with an implied team total of 5.02 runs compared to the Cardinals’ 4.48 runs. Given the Cardinals’ offensive prowess and McGreevy’s potential to surprise, this matchup promises to be competitive, making it a game worth watching for bettors and fans alike.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Clayton Kershaw – Over/Under StrikeoutsThe St. Louis Cardinals have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Clayton Kershaw today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under Total BasesShohei Ohtani has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 101.4-mph average to last year’s 99-mph mark.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense grades out as the strongest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Michael McGreevy – Over/Under StrikeoutsAmong all starters, Michael McGreevy’s fastball velocity of 91.6 mph grades out in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Nolan Arenado – Over/Under Total BasesExtreme flyball bats like Nolan Arenado usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Clayton Kershaw.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- St. Louis Cardinals bats as a group rank 25th- in the game for power this year when using their 7.6% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Betting Trends
- St. Louis Cardinals – MoneylineThe St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Over/Under Game TotalThe Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)