
Atlanta Braves

San Francisco Giants
(-125/+105)-150
The San Francisco Giants will host the Atlanta Braves on June 7, 2025, in a pivotal National League matchup at Oracle Park. The Giants are currently sitting at 36-28, a solid record that reflects their competitive season, while the Braves struggle at 27-35. This game marks the second in the series between these two teams, following a tightly contested game yesterday, which saw the Giants edge out the Braves with a score of 5-4.
On the mound for the Giants, Logan Webb is projected to start. Webb is having an impressive season with a 2.55 ERA and ranks as the 5th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats. His last outing was particularly noteworthy, as he pitched a complete game shutout, allowing no earned runs and striking out seven batters. Webb has a Win/Loss record of 5-5 this season, and he is projected to go around 6.4 innings today, with an average of 2.3 earned runs allowed. However, his projection of 6.1 hits and 1.3 walks allowed raises some concerns.
On the other side, the Braves will counter with Bryce Elder, who has struggled this season with a 4.56 ERA and a 2-3 record. Although his 3.92 xFIP indicates he might be due for better luck, Elder has not shown the consistency needed to be a reliable starter. He projects to pitch around 5.3 innings with 2.8 earned runs allowed, which could be problematic against a Giants offense that, despite ranking 25th in MLB, has shown flashes of ability.
With the Giants boasting the 1st best bullpen in MLB, they have a significant advantage late in the game. The current moneyline favors the Giants at -150, suggesting that they are expected to win this matchup. Given the circumstances, San Francisco looks well-positioned to secure another victory against Atlanta, who continues to search for answers as they navigate a disappointing season.
Atlanta Braves Insights
- Bryce Elder – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-165)As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bryce Elder in the 25th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)Ronald Acuna Jr. has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 100.8-mph average to last year’s 92.2-mph EV.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (+130)The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Atlanta Braves.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Wilmer Flores – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)Extreme groundball bats like Wilmer Flores generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- San Francisco Giants – 2H MoneylineThe San Francisco Giants bullpen profiles as the best in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Atlanta Braves – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+110/-140)The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Matt Olson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+145)Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.65 Units / 19% ROI)