
St. Louis Cardinals
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Detroit Tigers
+150O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-170
(-110/-110)-170
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+145)In his previous GS, Michael McGreevy was rolling and conceded 0 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Victor Scott II – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)Since the start of last season, Victor Scott II’s 3.9% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 12th percentile among his peers.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- The St. Louis Cardinals have 4 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Victor Scott II, Pedro Pages, Jordan Walker, Thomas Saggese).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Framber Valdez – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-160/+125)Framber Valdez has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 4.0 more adjusted pitches-per-game than average.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Gleyber Torres – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)Gleyber Torres’s footspeed has declined this season. His 26.2 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.44 ft/sec now.Explain: Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can’t beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.
- The 9.5% Barrel% of the Detroit Tigers ranks them as the #7 squad in the majors since the start of last season by this standard.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Betting Trends
- Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 73 games at home (+15.98 Units / 19% ROI)
- St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 64 of their last 113 games (+9.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- JJ Wetherholt – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+135/-180)JJ Wetherholt has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.20 Units / 87% ROI)
