Get the Injury Report for Twins vs White Sox – Tuesday April 1st, 2025

Minnesota Twins

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Chicago White Sox

The Chicago White Sox will host the Minnesota Twins on April 1, 2025, in what is the second game of their series. The White Sox currently sit at 2-2, showing signs of an average start to the season. In contrast, the Twins are struggling significantly, with a record of 0-4, marking them as one of the league’s worst teams thus far.

In their last matchup on March 31, the White Sox secured a dominant 9-0 victory, while the Twins suffered the same fate, losing 9-0 as well. This backdrop sets the stage for Shane Smith, who is projected to start for the White Sox. Smith, currently ranked as the 222nd best starting pitcher in MLB, faces a daunting task despite expectations that he will allow around 2.0 earned runs and strike out 4.4 batters today. His projections indicate he will struggle with 4.0 hits and 1.5 walks, which could prove detrimental against any lineup.

On the other side, the Twins will send out Simeon Woods Richard, who is also struggling and ranks among the worst pitchers in the league. While his earned run projection of 2.0 is relatively good, his other numbers suggest a rough outing, with a projected 4.1 hits and 1.9 walks.

Offensively, the White Sox have been a disappointment, ranking 30th in the league overall, including in batting average and home runs. This lack of firepower might benefit a Twins team that boasts a middle-of-the-pack offense, currently ranked 11th in MLB. However, both teams are grappling with issues, and the White Sox’s implied team total of 3.35 runs indicates they may struggle to score.

This matchup presents an opportunity for the Twins to turn their season around against an underperforming White Sox squad, even as the projections lean slightly in the Twins’ favor. With the Game Total set at a low 7.5 runs, the stage is set for an intriguing battle at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Simeon Woods Richard – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Simeon Woods Richardson’s fastball velocity over his last 3 games started (90.8 mph) has been significantly worse than than his seasonal rate (92.5 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.
• Byron Buxton – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Extreme groundball hitters like Byron Buxton generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane Smith.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Minnesota Twins – 2H Moneyline
  The Minnesota Twins bullpen ranks as the 6th-worst in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Shane Smith – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Shane Smith to be limited in this game, projecting a maximum of 75 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Austin Slater – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-110/-120)
  Austin Slater is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Austin Slater – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Austin Slater has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 88 games (+15.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• Byron Buxton – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Byron Buxton has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 74% ROI)