Get Recommended Player Prop Bets for Reds vs Rays – Wednesday, April 22, 2026

Cincinnati Reds

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Tampa Bay Rays

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Brandon Williamson – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have 7 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Williamson in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• TJ Friedl – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  TJ Friedl has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• The Cincinnati Reds have 5 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Matt McLain, Rece Hinds, Eugenio Suarez, Tyler Stephenson).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Tampa Bay Rays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-140)
  In his previous outing, Nick Martinez was rolling and allowed 2 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Chandler Simpson – Over/Under Hits
  Cincinnati’s #2-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Chandler Simpson, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Tampa Bay Rays hitters as a unit rank 30th- in the league for power this year when using their 4.5% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.