Get Recommended Player Prop Bets for Reds vs Rays - Wednesday, April 22, 2026

+120O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-140

Brandon Williamson – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
The Tampa Bay Rays have 7 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Williamson in this game.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Nate Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+135)
The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
The Cincinnati Reds have 4 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Elly De La Cruz, Eugenio Suarez, Will Benson).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Tampa Bay Rays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-160)
In his previous outing, Nick Martinez was rolling and allowed 2 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Williamson.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Tampa Bay Rays hitters as a unit rank 30th- in the league for power this year when using their 4.4% Barrel%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
Cincinnati Reds – Moneyline (+120)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.60 Units / 33% ROI)
Sal Stewart – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+110/-140)
Sal Stewart has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+5.80 Units / 23% ROI)

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