
Los Angeles Angels
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Texas Rangers
+145O/U: 8
(-115/-105)-170
(-115/-105)-170
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Ryan Johnson – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)Among all starting pitchers, Ryan Johnson’s fastball velocity of 88.9 mph is in the 4th percentile this year.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Jose Siri – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)Jose Siri has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- The Los Angeles Angels have 6 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christian Moore, Denzer Guzman, Jose Siri, Mike Trout, Zach Neto, Travis d’Arnaud).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Texas Rangers Insights
- Cody Bradford – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)Throwing 74.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Cody Bradford falls in the 6th percentile.Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Joc Pederson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)Joc Pederson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 92.2-mph EV.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Texas Rangers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Texas Rangers’ bullpen projects as the 10th-worst out of all the teams in the game.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Texas Rangers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-115/-105)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-140/+110)Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.40 Units / 74% ROI)
