Get Recommended Player Prop Bets for Brewers vs Nationals – Friday, May 01, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers

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Washington Nationals

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jacob Misiorowski has used his secondary pitches 6.9% less often this year (38.7%) than he did last season (45.6%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Jake Bauers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Over the past 7 days, Jake Bauers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.2% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Milwaukee Brewers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Milwaukee Brewers’ bullpen ranks as the 6th-best out of all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Washington Nationals Insights

• Jake Irvin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Out of all starters, Jake Irvin’s fastball velocity of 92.3 mph ranks in the 24th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• James Wood – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
  James Wood has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 97-mph average to last year’s 94.3-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• CJ Abrams – Over/Under Total Bases
  CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.