Get Bets and Betting Tips for Yankees vs Orioles – 5/12/2026

New York Yankees

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Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees Insights

• Will Warren – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Will Warren’s 2552-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 97th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Ben Rice – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Over the last 7 days, Ben Rice’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 19.3% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Will Warren – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Austin Wells, the Yankees’s expected catcher today, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Trevor Rogers – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+150/-195)
  Compared to the average starting pitcher, Trevor Rogers has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an extra 4.6 adjusted pitches each game.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+235/-320)
  Coby Mayo has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 100.8-mph over the past 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Baltimore’s 89.8-mph average exit velocity this year is among the best in the majors: #5 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• New York Yankees – Run Line -1.5 (+110)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+8.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+800/-1800)
  Coby Mayo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+8.10 Units / 116% ROI)