
Texas Rangers
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Boston Red Sox
+100O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-120
(-110/-110)-120
Texas Rangers Insights
- Jacob deGrom – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)Jacob deGrom’s 96.4-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 92nd percentile out of all SPs.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Kyle Higashioka – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Boston’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Kyle Higashioka, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Texas Rangers – 2H MoneylineThe Texas Rangers bullpen ranks as the 6th-worst in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Boston Red Sox Insights
- Ranger Suarez – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ranger Suarez is expected to rack up an average of 17.5 outs in today’s matchup.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Ceddanne Rafaela – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Carlos Narvaez – Over/Under Total BasesCarlos Narvaez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Boston Red Sox – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+3.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- Texas Rangers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Caleb Durbin – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+110/-140)Caleb Durbin has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
