Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Royals vs Yankees – Saturday April 18, 2026

Kansas City Royals

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New York Yankees

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Noah Cameron – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
  Recording 17.1 outs per GS since the start of last season on average, Noah Cameron checks in at the 83rd percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Jac Caglianone – Over/Under Total Bases
  Jac Caglianone has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94-mph average to last season’s 89.4-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Kansas City’s 89.8-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season ranks among the best in the majors: #5 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

New York Yankees Insights

• Will Warren – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
  Will Warren’s higher utilization rate of his fastball this year (68.3 vs. 62.6% last year) is not ideal considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Austin Wells – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)
  Kansas City’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Austin Wells, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Aaron Judge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.