
New York Mets
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San Francisco Giants
-120O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+100
(-110/-110)+100
New York Mets Insights
- David Peterson – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)The San Francisco Giants have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Juan Soto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Since the start of last season, Juan Soto’s 17.5% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 98th percentile among his peers.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- New York Mets batters as a unit rank among the elite in baseball since the start of last season (2nd-) as it relates to their 90.5-mph average exit velocity.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
San Francisco Giants Insights
- San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)Robbie Ray performed well in his last game started and gave up 2 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Matt Chapman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)Matt Chapman’s footspeed has improved this season. His 28.1 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.58 ft/sec now.Explain: Fast players tend to get more hits as they leg out groundballs, more extra base hits, and more stolen bases.
- Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- San Francisco Giants – Run Line +1.5 (-165)The San Francisco Giants have hit the Run Line in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- New York Mets – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 62 of their last 110 games (+8.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+125/-160)Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+11.40 Units / 127% ROI)
