Find Brewers vs Reds Value Bets and Betting Line - Monday June 22nd, 2026

-165O/U: 9.5
(+100/-120)+140

Brice Turang – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cincinnati Reds – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+115)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Brady Singer will average a total of 3.22 earned runs in today’s outing.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
JJ Bleday – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
Extreme groundball bats like JJ Bleday generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Woodruff.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
The Cincinnati Reds have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Tyler Stephenson, Blake Dunn).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

WriteNow™ by EV Analytics