Check Out the Match Preview: Cubs vs Mets Game Forecast and Analysis - 6/22/2026

-130O/U: 9
(+100/-120)+110

Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-130)
The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the best out of every team today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
Seiya Suzuki hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Kodai Senga – Over/Under Pitching Outs
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kodai Senga is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers on the slate today.
Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Marcus Semien – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-205)
Typically, bats like Marcus Semien who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Shota Imanaga.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (+100/-120)
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 23 games (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.05 Units / 17% ROI)
Carson Kelly – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+750/-1600)
Carson Kelly has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+12.60 Units / 252% ROI)

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