
Houston Astros
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Toronto Blue Jays
+115O/U: 7
(-110/-110)-135
(-110/-110)-135
Houston Astros Insights
- Jose Altuve – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)Hitting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Jose Altuve will have a tough challenge today.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Houston Astros – Moneyline (+115)The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Houston Astros.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Dylan Cease – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+115)Dylan Cease has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 7.8 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average pitcher.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Toronto Blue Jays – 2H MoneylineThe Toronto Blue Jays bullpen projects as the 4th-best in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Houston Astros – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- George Springer – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 25 games at home (+6.85 Units / 25% ROI)
