
Athletics
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Texas Rangers
+120O/U: 7.5
(-120/+100)-140
(-120/+100)-140
Athletics Insights
- Jeffrey Springs – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)Jeffrey Springs’s slider utilization has risen by 6.3% from last year to this one (27% to 33.3%) .Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-175/+135)Max Muncy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Athletics – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Athletics’ bullpen profiles as the 6th-worst among all the teams in the game.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Texas Rangers Insights
- MacKenzie Gore – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)MacKenzie Gore was on point in his last game started and accumulated 7 strikeouts.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Danny Jansen – Over/Under Total BasesDanny Jansen has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph dropping to 83-mph in the past 14 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Josh Jung – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-120/+100)The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+8.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Athletics – Moneyline (+120)The Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+15.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
