
Kansas City Royals
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Washington Nationals
+110O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-130
(-110/-110)-130
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Michael Wacha – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-140/+110)Michael Wacha has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 3.6 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than league average.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- The Kansas City Royals have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the futureExplain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.
Washington Nationals Insights
- Foster Griffin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-165/+125)With 7 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Foster Griffin faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Daylen Lile – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Washington Nationals – 2H MoneylineThe Washington Nationals bullpen projects as the worst in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
