Discover the Game Time for Pirates vs Yankees – Monday July 20, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates

@

New York Yankees

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Braxton Ashcraft – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Braxton Ashcraft is expected to average a total of 6.2 strikeouts in this matchup.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
• The underlying talent of the Pittsburgh Pirates projected batting order today (.321 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal weaker than their .335 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

New York Yankees Insights

• Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  With 7 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Ryan Weathers will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jasson Dominguez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Jasson Dominguez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Yankees bullpen ranks as the 9th-best in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• New York Yankees – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• Pittsburgh Pirates – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-145/+110)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 54% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.50 Units / 33% ROI)