
Athletics
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Chicago Cubs
+115O/U: 10.5
(-105/-115)-135
(-105/-115)-135
Athletics Insights
- Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that J.T. Ginn will surrender an average of 3.2 earned runs today.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Zack Gelof – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+175/-235)In the last 14 days, Zack Gelof’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Nick Kurtz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Shota Imanaga – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)Shota Imanaga has used his four-seam fastball 6.9% less often this season (41.8%) than he did last season (48.7%).Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)Pete Crow-Armstrong has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 96.1-mph over the past 14 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-135)The Chicago Cubs projected offense ranks as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
