
Athletics
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Chicago Cubs
+120O/U: 10
(-115/-105)-140
(-115/-105)-140
Athletics Insights
- Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that J.T. Ginn will surrender an average of 3.29 earned runs today.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Henry Bolte – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)Henry Bolte is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)Nick Kurtz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Shota Imanaga – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)Shota Imanaga has used his four-seam fastball 6.9% less often this season (41.8%) than he did last season (48.7%).Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)Pete Crow-Armstrong has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 96.1-mph over the past 14 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-140)The Chicago Cubs projected offense ranks as the 4th-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Athletics – Run Line +1.5 (-170)The Athletics have hit the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Moises Ballesteros – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+100/-130)Moises Ballesteros has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.35 Units / 51% ROI)
