
Kansas City Royals
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Cleveland Guardians
-105O/U: 7
(-120/+100)-115
(-120/+100)-115
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Michael Wacha – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)Michael Wacha has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 7 opposite-handed bats in today’s game.Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Salvador Perez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)Salvador Perez’s speed has decreased this year. His 24.4 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 23.26 ft/sec now.Explain: Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can’t beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.
- The Kansas City Royals (20.1 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy set of hitters on the slate.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Cleveland Guardians Insights
- Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)In his previous game started, Tanner Bibee was rolling and posted 7 strikeouts.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Kyle Manzardo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)Kyle Manzardo is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Kansas City (#3-worst on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Cleveland Guardians – 2H MoneylineThe Cleveland Guardians bullpen grades out as the 5th-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (-115)The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 77 games (+21.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-110/-120)The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 82 of their last 141 games (+17.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- Kyle Manzardo – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+125/-160)Kyle Manzardo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 30% ROI)
