
Cleveland Guardians
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Texas Rangers
+120O/U: 7.5
(+100/-120)-140
(+100/-120)-140
Cleveland Guardians Insights
- Joey Cantillo – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)Joey Cantillo has tallied 14.3 outs per outing this year, checking in at the 20th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Cleveland Guardians – 2H MoneylineThe Cleveland Guardians bullpen projects as the 9th-best in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Texas Rangers Insights
- Jacob deGrom – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)With 8 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Jacob deGrom will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Danny Jansen – Over/Under HitsThe leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 4th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Josh Jung – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)Josh Jung hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Texas Rangers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Cleveland Guardians – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+125)The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 away games (+12.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh Jung – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)Josh Jung has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+9.80 Units / 37% ROI)
