Current Player Trends for Red Sox vs Rays – Sunday September 20, 2026

Boston Red Sox

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Tampa Bay Rays

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Patrick Sandoval – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+115/-150)
  Patrick Sandoval has averaged 14.4 outs per GS this year, ranking in the 19th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Wilyer Abreu – Over/Under Total Bases
  Wilyer Abreu is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Tampa Bay (#1-best on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• It may be smart to expect negative regression for the Boston Red Sox offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Griffin Jax – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
  With 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Griffin Jax faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Liam Hicks – Over/Under Hits
  Liam Hicks is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The 5.9% Barrel% of the Tampa Bay Rays makes them the #30 club in Major League Baseball this year by this stat.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.