Boxscore for Reds vs Cardinals – 6/7/26

Cincinnati Reds

@

St. Louis Cardinals

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Rhett Lowder – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+125/-165)
  Rhett Lowder’s 91.7-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 17th percentile out of all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Matt McLain – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Matt McLain has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Cincinnati Reds have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Will Benson, Matt McLain, Tyler Stephenson, Blake Dunn).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Michael McGreevy – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Michael McGreevy will record an average of 1.4 singles in this matchup.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
• St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline
  The St. Louis Cardinals bullpen grades out as the 5th-best in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-155)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+7.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+110/-145)
  Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.75 Units / 62% ROI)