Find the Best Phillies vs Mets Picks and Odds – 9/20/2026

Philadelphia Phillies

@

New York Mets

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Philadelphia Phillies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-175)
  In his last outing, Cristopher Sanchez was on point and conceded 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)
  Brandon Marsh’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 89.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 82.4-mph in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Bryson Stott – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
  Bryson Stott hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

New York Mets Insights

• Jonah Tong – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-155/+120)
  Jonah Tong has recorded 12.2 outs per game per started since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• New York Mets – Moneyline (+145)
  The 2nd-best projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the New York Mets.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.