Check the Betting Guide and Odds for Dodgers vs Pirates - Wednesday June 10th, 2026

-195O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+165

Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under Pitching Outs
Shohei Ohtani has been given an above-average leash this year, throwing 3.4 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starter.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Kyle Tucker – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
Kyle Tucker is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
Freddie Freeman has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Jared Jones – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Jared Jones today.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Nick Gonzales – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
Nick Gonzales has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph dropping to 82.1-mph in the last two weeks.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Compared to their .323 overall projected rate, the .312 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Pittsburgh Pirates projected lineup in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup significantly missing some of their usual firepower.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
Los Angeles Dodgers – Run Line -1.5 (-125)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Ryan Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
Ryan Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.50 Units / 44% ROI)

WriteNow™ by EV Analytics