Check Out Picks and Betting Guide for Yankees vs Blue Jays – 8/15/26

New York Yankees

@

Toronto Blue Jays

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-190)
  Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Ryan McMahon – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Ryan McMahon has big-time HR ability (81st percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (29.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Braydon Fisher struggles to strike batters out (11th percentile K%) — great news for McMahon.
  Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
• The New York Yankees have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Spencer Jones, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Ryan McMahon).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Despite technically being the “starter” today, Braydon Fisher may not pitch more than a couple framess considering he will function as more of an opener.
  Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen ranks as the 7th-best in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+120/-155)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 23 games at home (+14.15 Units / 49% ROI)
• New York Yankees – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 41% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-115/-115)
  Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)