
Colorado Rockies
@

San Francisco Giants
+150O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-170
(-110/-110)-170
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Michael Lorenzen – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)Michael Lorenzen has used his slider 5.9% less often this season (14.8%) than he did last year (20.7%).Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
- Willi Castro – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Logan Webb in today’s matchup.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Colorado Rockies – 2H MoneylineThe Colorado Rockies bullpen profiles as the 2nd-worst in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Logan Webb – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)Among all SPs, Logan Webb’s fastball spin rate of 2084 rpm is in the 11th percentile this year.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Rafael Devers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)When estimating his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Betting Trends
- San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115/-145)The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+5.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+105/-135)The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+3.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+130/-170)Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+6.00 Units / 16% ROI)
