
Los Angeles Angels
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San Francisco Giants
-125O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+105
(-110/-110)+105
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Jose Soriano – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)Because flyball hitters have a sizeable advantage over groundball pitchers, Jose Soriano and his 55.6% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position in today’s outing going up against 2 opposing GB hitters.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Nolan Schanuel – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+165/-215)Nolan Schanuel’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 90.9-mph average last season has fallen off to 88.5-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Los Angeles Angels hitters collectively rank near the bottom of baseball this year ( 6th-worst) as it relates to their 88.1-mph average exit velocity.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Carson Whisenhunt – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)With 8 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Carson Whisenhunt faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Soriano.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- San Francisco Giants – Moneyline (+105)The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)
