
New York Yankees
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Philadelphia Phillies
+180O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-210
(-110/-110)-210
New York Yankees Insights
- Will Warren – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Will Warren is projected to throw 77 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least on the slate today.Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Trent Grisham – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)Trent Grisham has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Ali Sanchez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ali Sanchez ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Cristopher Sanchez – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)As a result of his large platoon split, Cristopher Sanchez encounters a tough challenge going up against 7 batters in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side in this outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Alec Bohm – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)Alec Bohm has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 96.4-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future gamesExplain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- New York Yankees – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+110/-140)The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Amed Rosario – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-205)Amed Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)
