Review the Latest Player Stats for Mariners vs Rangers – Sunday, July 26th, 2026

Seattle Mariners

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Texas Rangers

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Out of all SPs, Logan Gilbert’s fastball spin rate of 2193 rpm grades out in the 19th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• J.P. Crawford – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as an elite pitch framer.
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Texas Rangers Insights

• Jacob deGrom – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-180/+135)
  Tallying 91.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Jacob deGrom places him the 75th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Elias Diaz – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Elias Diaz’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 85.9-mph seasonal average has dropped to 81.8-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Texas Rangers – 2H Moneyline
  The Texas Rangers bullpen grades out as the 8th-worst in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+18.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)
• Nicky Lopez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)
  Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.00 Units / 23% ROI)